Friday, November 28, 2014

FOREX REPORT FOR 28 NOVEMBER

10:01 AM

MARKET HEADLINES

Rupee fails to maintain initial gains, trades at 61.84



The rupee failed to maintain initial gains against the American currency due to mild demand for dollars from banks and importers and was quoted at 61.84 in the late morning trade. The rupee resumed higher at 61.81 per dollar as against the last closing level of 61.84 at the Interbank Foreign Exchange market on initial selling pressure of dollars from banks and exporters in view of persistent foreign capital inflows into equity market.However, it failed to maintain initial gains and was quoted at 61.84 on dollar demand from banks and importers. It hovered in a range of 61.80 and 61.86 per dollar in the morning trade. In New York market, the ICE US Dollar Index extended its losses yesterday after a stream of weak economic data released over the past two days implied that US economic growth won't be as strong in the fourth quarter as it was in the third. Meanwhile, the Indian benchmark Sesnex eased by 11.69 points or 0.04 per cent to 28,374.50 at 1000hrs.

Rupee ends at 61.8450/8550 per dollar vs 61.86/87



Indian rupee closed marginally stronger on Wednesday after being held in a tight range as dollar inflows into the domestic share markets were offset by demand for the greenback from importers looking to meet month-end commitments. Sentiment was also cautious ahead of the release of July- September economic growth data on Friday and the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy review on December 2. India economic growth probably slowed to 5.1 per cent in the July-September quarter from a year ago, but economists polled by Reuters doubted whether that would be enough to persuade the central bank to cut interest rates just yet. "We are likely to see the rupee in a 61.70 to 62.10 range this week as rising dollar demand towards month-end may hurt the rupee," said Param Sarma, director and chief executive officer at NSP Forex, a consultancy firm. "Rupee resistance has now gradually shifted to 61.50 from 60.00 earlier as we see good dollar buying from exporters and the RBI at that level. We are likely to see the rupee remaining broadly stable between 61.50 to 62.50 until year-end," he added. The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.8450/8550 per dollar versus Tuesday's close of 61.86/87. Moves in the domestic share market will also be crucial for cues on foreign fund flows. Shares gained for a fourth session in five, led by blue chips on hopes the central bank would cut its key policy rate. In the offshore non-deliverable forwards market, the one-month contract was at 62.20 while the three-month was at 62.73.

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